For Research Firms
Benchmark forecasts against market consensus. Validate surveys, enhance models, and deliver sharper insights to clients.
Enhance your research
Tools and data to improve forecast quality and add credibility to your analysis.
Forecast Benchmarking
Compare your predictions against market consensus. Measure calibration and identify systematic biases.
Survey Validation
Cross-reference survey results with market prices. Add credibility to your research with external validation.
Model Enhancement
Incorporate prediction market data as inputs to your models. Improve forecast accuracy with market signals.
Client Deliverables
Enhance reports with market-implied probabilities. Give clients actionable, quantified insights.
Historical Analysis
Access years of market data for research. Study forecast accuracy, market efficiency, and information aggregation.
Publication Support
Data exports with proper attribution. Methodology documentation for academic standards.
Measure and improve calibration
Compare your forecasts against prediction market prices to identify systematic biases. Track how your predictions perform relative to market consensus over time.
Track Brier scores
Measure forecast accuracy with proper scoring rules.
Identify overconfidence
Detect when your probabilities are too extreme.
Domain-specific analysis
Break down performance by topic, time horizon, or event type.
Calibration Comparison
Historical: your 70-75% forecasts resolve at 61% rate
Supporting all research types
Whether polling, forecasting, or academic research, Gliss provides the data you need.
Polling Firms
Validate survey results against market prices. Add quantified confidence to your analysis.
Forecast Consultancies
Benchmark predictions, improve calibration, and demonstrate track record to clients.
Academic Research
Historical data with methodology documentation. Publication-ready exports.
Improve your forecasts
Get access to prediction market data and benchmarking tools for your research.